STRATAHELM · CAERIHomeCountiesArticlesMethodologyContact

Two comparisons, both shown. The national basis ranks Effingham County against every scored U.S. county — its percentile band above is a relative national standing, not a condition. The in-state basis ranks it against Illinois's other counties (rank and percentile only — bands aren't meaningful within a single state). A county can stand out in its own state while sitting mid-pack nationally. Neither is a forecast.

Pillar breakdown — national percentile ranks

What this means for Effingham County

Effingham County scores 60.4 on the national CAERI basis — 533rd of 3,142 scored U.S. counties, placing it in the 75th–90th band nationally by percentile, with a medium-confidence rating. Within Illinois it ranks 7th of 102 counties (94th in-state percentile). The score summarizes how concentrated local employment is in AI-exposed occupations against the economy's measured capacity to adapt; these are relative-standing bands, not a projection of local job change.

Direct occupational exposure stands at the 63rd national percentile. The largest concentrations of locally estimated employment in high-exposure occupations are customer service representatives, office clerks, general, bookkeeping, accounting, and auditing clerks. The share of exposed-industry jobs held by workers under 25 is 9% — near the state median of 9%; research on AI-era payrolls finds early-career roles in exposed work are where hiring patterns shift first, so this share indicates how soon exposure could be felt, not how large it is.

The share of exposed-industry jobs held by workers 55 and over is 24% (well below the state median) — a higher share historically means slower workforce adjustment when industries restructure. Fiscal sensitivity ranks at the 38th percentile among Illinois's counties. Census of Governments data shows state aid at 44% of this county's general revenue (well above the state median), and wage- and consumption-sensitive streams (sales, income, and similar own-source taxes, where levied) at 6% of own-source revenue. Property taxes, which respond to economic change more slowly, are counted separately and are not part of that sensitive share. How this state's aid formulas and tax structure carry economic change into local budgets is covered in the state-specific fiscal analysis available to subscribers. All county occupation figures on this page are model-based ESTIMATES with the confidence rating shown above.

Largest locally-estimated employment in high-exposure occupations

Across all 206 high-exposure occupations (top quartile of ensemble exposure) with estimated local employment, Effingham County has an estimated 8,076 jobs — 23.6% of county employment — carrying an estimated $501M annual wage bill in high-exposure work. The five largest:

Age structure of exposed-industry employment

Cite this page

Machine-readable: this county's JSON · national dataset download and data dictionary on the methodology page.

Nearby and comparable counties

Cook Co., IL (in state)Monroe Co., IL (in state)Sangamon Co., IL (in state)Okfuskee Co., OK (similar score)Schoharie Co., NY (similar score)Rawlins Co., KS (similar score)

Links point to the economically nearest counties (in-state, and similar national score). County-level geographic adjacency is not part of the public reference data, so proximity here is by rank, not by shared border.

Sources & provenance