STRATAHELM · COMMUNITY AI EXPOSURE & RESILIENCE INDEX

Greene County, Illinois

CAERI National › Illinois › Greene County · FIPS 17061 · caeri:17061
45.2
CAERI score (national basis)
25th–50th
National percentile band
#2074
Ranked of 3142 U.S. counties
#55
Ranked in Illinois (of 102)
Medium
Confidence

Two comparisons, both shown. The national basis ranks Greene County against every scored U.S. county — its percentile band above is a relative national standing, not a condition. The in-state basis ranks it against Illinois's other counties (rank and percentile only — bands aren't meaningful within a single state). A county can stand out in its own state while sitting mid-pack nationally. Neither is a forecast.

Pillar breakdown — national percentile ranks

P1 · Direct occupational exposure
20
P2 · Economic concentration
73
P3 · Adaptive capacity (inverted)
36
P4 · Regional buffer (inverted)
41
P5 · Fiscal sensitivity
18
Zone shading marks percentile quartiles; darker and warmer means more concerning. Capacity and buffer bars (inverted before aggregation) read mirrored — for those, a higher percentile is the safer pale end.

What this means for Greene County

Greene County scores 45.2 on the national CAERI basis — 2074th of 3,142 scored U.S. counties, placing it in the 25th–50th band nationally by percentile, with a medium-confidence rating. Within Illinois it ranks 55th of 102 counties (47th in-state percentile). The score summarizes how concentrated local employment is in AI-exposed occupations against the economy's measured capacity to adapt; these are relative-standing bands, not a projection of local job change.

Direct occupational exposure stands at the 20th national percentile. The largest concentrations of locally estimated employment in high-exposure occupations are office clerks, general, secretaries and administrative assistants, except legal, medical, and executive, elementary school teachers, except special education. The share of exposed-industry jobs held by workers under 25 is 13% — well above the state median of 9%; research on AI-era payrolls finds early-career roles in exposed work are where hiring patterns shift first, so this share indicates how soon exposure could be felt, not how large it is.

The share of exposed-industry jobs held by workers 55 and over is 27% (below the state median) — a higher share historically means slower workforce adjustment when industries restructure. Fiscal sensitivity ranks at the 35th percentile among Illinois's counties. Census of Governments data shows state aid at 37% of this county's general revenue (near the state median), and wage- and consumption-sensitive streams (sales, income, and similar own-source taxes, where levied) at 3% of own-source revenue. Property taxes, which respond to economic change more slowly, are counted separately and are not part of that sensitive share. How this state's aid formulas and tax structure carry economic change into local budgets is covered in the state-specific fiscal analysis available to subscribers. All county occupation figures on this page are model-based ESTIMATES with the confidence rating shown above.

Largest locally-estimated employment in high-exposure occupations

Across all 167 high-exposure occupations (top quartile of ensemble exposure) with estimated local employment, Greene County has an estimated 372 jobs — 17.5% of county employment — carrying an estimated $23M annual wage bill in high-exposure work. The five largest:

OccupationEstimated local employment*Exposure (0–1)Median wage (area)
Office Clerks, General290.44$39,290
Secretaries and Administrative Assistants, Except Legal, Medical, and Executive240.50$41,150
Elementary School Teachers, Except Special Education240.43$57,240
Secondary School Teachers, Except Special and Career/Technical Education180.49$60,740
Bookkeeping, Accounting, and Auditing Clerks170.51$45,760
*These are estimates, and cannot be anything else. No federal survey measures employment by occupation at county level — not for this county, and not for any county in the United States. Every figure in this table is therefore a model-based ESTIMATE built from published federal data, never a count of actual jobs. They are built to compare occupations and places rather than to be read as headcounts, and their accuracy differs by occupation group — our methodology §5.1 publishes the measured error, including the groups we estimate high and the groups we estimate low. Every county also carries the confidence rating shown above. Wage = area median.

Age structure of exposed-industry employment

Greene CountyIllinois median
Share of exposed-industry jobs held by workers under 25 (entry rung) 13.2%9.2%
Share of exposed-industry jobs held by workers 55+ (adjustment friction) 27.5%28.7%

🔒 City-level detail for its cities and towns

The county number above averages over every community in it. City- and place-level exposure profiles, employer-mix detail, trend monitoring, and peer benchmarking are part of the CAERI subscription for local governments and regional organizations.

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Cite this page

Canonical identifier: caeri:17061 — this URL is permanent; if the address scheme ever changes, the old address will redirect. StrataHelm. (2026). Greene County, Illinois — Community AI Exposure & Resilience Index (CAERI v1.0.0) [Data set]. Retrieved October 4, 2026, from https://stratahelm.com/counties/illinois/greene/ “Greene County, Illinois — CAERI.” StrataHelm, 2026, stratahelm.com/counties/illinois/greene/. Accessed 4 October 2026. StrataHelm. “Greene County, Illinois — Community AI Exposure and Resilience Index (v1.0.0).” 2026. https://stratahelm.com/counties/illinois/greene/
Embed this county's score card — attribution to StrataHelm CAERI and the link back are part of the embedded page and cannot be stripped:<iframe src="https://stratahelm.com/counties/illinois/greene/embed/" width="420" height="275" loading="lazy" title="CAERI — Greene County, IL"></iframe>

Machine-readable: this county's JSON · national dataset download and data dictionary on the methodology page.

Nearby and comparable counties

Jersey County, IL (in state)McDonough County, IL (in state)Macoupin County, IL (in state)Toombs County, GA (similar score)Benson County, ND (similar score)New Madrid County, MO (similar score)

Links point to the economically nearest counties (in-state, and similar national score). County-level geographic adjacency is not part of the public reference data, so proximity here is by rank, not by shared border.

Sources & provenance

LayerSources (vintage)
Employment & occupation structurecbp_il_county_naics4: Census CBP 2023 API (NAICS2017 classification; PAYANN in $1,000s; noise infusion G/H/J bands, D = withheld -&gt; NaN); county_soc_estimates.meta_il.json; exposure_scores: 2026-10-02; matrix_staffing_patterns: 2024-34 National Employment Matrix (base year 2024)
AI-exposure research baseAnthropic Economic Index; Felten, Raj & Seamans (AIOE); Eloundou et al. — combined as a weighted ensemble with cross-source disagreement feeding the confidence rating
Capacity, buffer & fiscalgovfin_il_county_revenue_mix: 2022 Census of Governments, Survey of Government Finances; lodes_il_county_flows: LEHD LODES8 OD 2023, JT00/S000; sources: il_main, il_aux, ia_aux, in_aux, ky_aux, mo_aux, wi_aux; qwi_il_county_naics3_age: Census QWI (qwi/sa), quarters [&#x27;2025-Q1&#x27;, &#x27;2025-Q2&#x27;, &#x27;2025-Q3&#x27;, &#x27;2025-Q4&#x27;], sex=0, ownercode=A05 (private), 96 NAICS-3 + &#x27;00&#x27; all-industry
MethodologyCAERI v1.0.0 · public methodology · scores generated 2026-10-02 · page generated 2026-10-04
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