Two comparisons, both shown. The national basis ranks Murray County against every scored U.S. county — its percentile band above is a relative national standing, not a condition. The in-state basis ranks it against Minnesota's other counties (rank and percentile only — bands aren't meaningful within a single state). A county can stand out in its own state while sitting mid-pack nationally. Neither is a forecast.
Murray County scores 31.7 on the national CAERI basis — 3067th of 3,142 scored U.S. counties, placing it in the Bottom 25% band nationally by percentile, with a medium-confidence rating. Within Minnesota it ranks 83rd of 87 counties (5th in-state percentile). The score summarizes how concentrated local employment is in AI-exposed occupations against the economy's measured capacity to adapt; these are relative-standing bands, not a projection of local job change.
Direct occupational exposure stands at the 11th national percentile. The largest concentrations of locally estimated employment in high-exposure occupations are office clerks, general, elementary school teachers, except special education, secretaries and administrative assistants, except legal, medical, and executive. The share of exposed-industry jobs held by workers under 25 is 6% — well below the state median of 10%; research on AI-era payrolls finds early-career roles in exposed work are where hiring patterns shift first, so this share indicates how soon exposure could be felt, not how large it is.
The share of exposed-industry jobs held by workers 55 and over is 37% (well above the state median) — a higher share historically means slower workforce adjustment when industries restructure. Fiscal sensitivity ranks at the 26th state percentile. In Minnesota the transmission runs through the property-tax base — commercial-industrial property is taxed at higher classification rates than homesteads, so softness in commercial values shifts levy burden or squeezes capacity — and through state aid, 24% of general revenue here (near the state median): Local Government Aid is financed from the state general fund and moves with statewide economic conditions, not only local ones. Local-option sales taxes are a minimal share of revenue here, leaving property values and state aid as the channels that matter. Minnesota local governments levy no local income tax. All county occupation figures on this page are model-based ESTIMATES with the confidence rating shown above.
Across all 179 high-exposure occupations (top quartile of ensemble exposure) with estimated local employment, Murray County has an estimated 495 jobs — 18.0% of county employment — carrying an estimated $32M annual wage bill in high-exposure work. The five largest:
| Occupation | Est. local employment* | Exposure (0–1) | Median wage (area) |
|---|---|---|---|
| Office Clerks, General | 44 | 0.44 | $44,150 |
| Elementary School Teachers, Except Special Education | 32 | 0.43 | $61,590 |
| Secretaries and Administrative Assistants, Except Legal, Medical, and Executive | 26 | 0.50 | $46,620 |
| Customer Service Representatives | 26 | 0.42 | $43,450 |
| Bookkeeping, Accounting, and Auditing Clerks | 26 | 0.51 | $48,500 |
| Murray County | Minnesota median | |
|---|---|---|
| Share of exposed-industry jobs held by workers under 25 (entry rung) | 6.3% | 10.0% |
| Share of exposed-industry jobs held by workers 55+ (adjustment friction) | 36.6% | 28.6% |
The county number above averages over every community in it. City- and place-level exposure profiles, employer-mix detail, trend monitoring, and peer benchmarking are part of the CAERI subscription for local governments and regional organizations.
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StrataHelm. (2026). Murray County, Minnesota — Community AI Exposure & Resilience Index (CAERI v0.3.1) [Data set]. Retrieved August 4, 2026, from https://stratahelm.com/counties/minnesota/murray/
“Murray County, Minnesota — CAERI.” StrataHelm, 2026, stratahelm.com/counties/minnesota/murray/. Accessed 4 August 2026.
StrataHelm. “Murray County, Minnesota — Community AI Exposure and Resilience Index (v0.3.1).” 2026. https://stratahelm.com/counties/minnesota/murray/
Machine-readable: this county's JSON · national dataset download and data dictionary on the methodology page.
Otter Tail Co., MN (in state)Morrison Co., MN (in state)Meeker Co., MN (in state)Marquette Co., WI (similar score)Waushara Co., WI (similar score)Dixon Co., NE (similar score)
Links point to the economically nearest counties (in-state, and similar national score). County-level geographic adjacency is not part of the public reference data, so proximity here is by rank, not by shared border.
| Layer | Sources (vintage) |
|---|---|
| Employment & occupation structure | cbp_mn_county_naics4: Census CBP 2023 API (NAICS2017 classification; PAYANN in $1,000s; noise infusion G/H/J bands, D = withheld -> NaN); county_soc_estimates.meta.json; exposure_scores: 2026-07-04; matrix_staffing_patterns: 2024-34 National Employment Matrix (base year 2024) |
| AI-exposure research base | Anthropic Economic Index; Felten, Raj & Seamans (AIOE); Eloundou et al. — combined as a weighted ensemble with cross-source disagreement feeding the confidence rating |
| Capacity, buffer & fiscal | govfin_mn_county_revenue_mix: 2022 Census of Governments, Survey of Government Finances; lodes_mn_county_flows: LEHD LODES8 OD 2023, JT00/S000; sources: mn main+aux, wi/nd/sd/ia aux; qwi_mn_county_naics3_age: Census QWI (qwi/sa), quarters ['2024-Q4', '2025-Q1', '2025-Q2', '2025-Q3'], sex=0, ownercode=A05 (private), 96 NAICS-3 + '00' all-industry |
| Methodology | CAERI v0.3.1 · public methodology · scores generated 2026-07-12 · page generated 2026-08-04 |
| License | Free to reuse under a Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International (CC BY 4.0) license: reuse or redistribute with attribution to “StrataHelm CAERI” and a link back to this page. https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/ |