STRATAHELM · COMMUNITY AI EXPOSURE & RESILIENCE INDEX

Macon County, Missouri

CAERI NationalMissouri › Macon County · FIPS 29121 · caeri:29121
54.1
CAERI score (national basis)
50th–75th
National percentile band
#1096
Ranked of 3142 U.S. counties
#24
Ranked in Missouri (of 115)
Low
Confidence

Two comparisons, both shown. The national basis ranks Macon County against every scored U.S. county — its percentile band above is a relative national standing, not a condition. The in-state basis ranks it against Missouri's other counties (rank and percentile only — bands aren't meaningful within a single state). A county can stand out in its own state while sitting mid-pack nationally. Neither is a forecast.

Pillar breakdown — national percentile ranks

P1 · Direct occupational exposure
54
P2 · Economic concentration
46
P3 · Adaptive capacity (inverted)
41
P4 · Regional buffer (inverted)
74
P5 · Fiscal sensitivity
86
Zone shading marks percentile quartiles; darker and warmer means more concerning. Capacity and buffer bars (inverted before aggregation) read mirrored — for those, a higher percentile is the safer pale end.

What this means for Macon County

Macon County scores 54.1 on the national CAERI basis — 1096th of 3,142 scored U.S. counties, placing it in the 50th–75th band nationally by percentile, with a low-confidence rating. Within Missouri it ranks 24th of 115 counties (80th in-state percentile). The score summarizes how concentrated local employment is in AI-exposed occupations against the economy's measured capacity to adapt; these are relative-standing bands, not a projection of local job change.

Direct occupational exposure stands at the 54th national percentile. The largest concentrations of locally estimated employment in high-exposure occupations are elementary school teachers, except special education, office clerks, general, secondary school teachers, except special and career/technical education. The share of exposed-industry jobs held by workers under 25 is 12% — well above the state median of 10%; research on AI-era payrolls finds early-career roles in exposed work are where hiring patterns shift first, so this share indicates how soon exposure could be felt, not how large it is.

The share of exposed-industry jobs held by workers 55 and over is 26% (below the state median) — a higher share historically means slower workforce adjustment when industries restructure. Fiscal sensitivity ranks at the 75th percentile among Missouri's counties. Census of Governments data shows state aid at 16% of this county's general revenue (well above the state median), and wage- and consumption-sensitive streams (sales, income, and similar own-source taxes, where levied) at 62% of own-source revenue. Property taxes, which respond to economic change more slowly, are counted separately and are not part of that sensitive share. How this state's aid formulas and tax structure carry economic change into local budgets is covered in the state-specific fiscal analysis available to subscribers. All county occupation figures on this page are model-based ESTIMATES with the confidence rating shown above.

Largest locally-estimated employment in high-exposure occupations

Across all 189 high-exposure occupations (top quartile of ensemble exposure) with estimated local employment, Macon County has an estimated 1,089 jobs — 22.2% of county employment — carrying an estimated $55M annual wage bill in high-exposure work. The five largest:

OccupationEst. local employment*Exposure (0–1)Median wage (area)
Elementary School Teachers, Except Special Education950.43$45,460
Office Clerks, General920.44$36,380
Secondary School Teachers, Except Special and Career/Technical Education910.49$45,680
Secretaries and Administrative Assistants, Except Legal, Medical, and Executive580.50$36,690
Customer Service Representatives440.42$37,370
*County-level occupation figures are model-based ESTIMATES, not surveyed counts (see methodology §5 summary); every county carries the confidence rating shown above. Wage = area median.

Age structure of exposed-industry employment

Macon CountyMissouri median
Share of exposed-industry jobs held by workers under 25 (entry rung) 11.7%9.8%
Share of exposed-industry jobs held by workers 55+ (adjustment friction) 25.8%27.0%

🔒 City-level detail for its cities and towns

The county number above averages over every community in it. City- and place-level exposure profiles, employer-mix detail, trend monitoring, and peer benchmarking are part of the CAERI subscription for local governments and regional organizations.

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Cite this page

Canonical identifier: caeri:29121 — this URL is permanent; if the address scheme ever changes, the old address will redirect. StrataHelm. (2026). Macon County, Missouri — Community AI Exposure & Resilience Index (CAERI v0.3.1) [Data set]. Retrieved August 4, 2026, from https://stratahelm.com/counties/missouri/macon/ “Macon County, Missouri — CAERI.” StrataHelm, 2026, stratahelm.com/counties/missouri/macon/. Accessed 4 August 2026. StrataHelm. “Macon County, Missouri — Community AI Exposure and Resilience Index (v0.3.1).” 2026. https://stratahelm.com/counties/missouri/macon/
Embed this county's score card — attribution to StrataHelm CAERI and the link back are part of the embedded page and cannot be stripped:<iframe src="https://stratahelm.com/counties/missouri/macon/embed/" width="420" height="275" loading="lazy" title="CAERI — Macon County, MO"></iframe>

Machine-readable: this county's JSON · national dataset download and data dictionary on the methodology page.

Nearby and comparable counties

Warren Co., MO (in state)Oregon Co., MO (in state)Clinton Co., MO (in state)Niagara Co., NY (similar score)Bedford Co., VA (similar score)Madison Co., TX (similar score)

Links point to the economically nearest counties (in-state, and similar national score). County-level geographic adjacency is not part of the public reference data, so proximity here is by rank, not by shared border.

Sources & provenance

LayerSources (vintage)
Employment & occupation structurecbp_mo_county_naics4: Census CBP 2023 API (NAICS2017 classification; PAYANN in $1,000s; noise infusion G/H/J bands, D = withheld -&gt; NaN); county_soc_estimates.meta_mo.json; exposure_scores: 2026-07-04; matrix_staffing_patterns: 2024-34 National Employment Matrix (base year 2024)
AI-exposure research baseAnthropic Economic Index; Felten, Raj & Seamans (AIOE); Eloundou et al. — combined as a weighted ensemble with cross-source disagreement feeding the confidence rating
Capacity, buffer & fiscalgovfin_mo_county_revenue_mix: 2022 Census of Governments, Survey of Government Finances; lodes_mo_county_flows: LEHD LODES8 OD 2023, JT00/S000; sources: mo_main, mo_aux, ar_aux, ia_aux, il_aux, ks_aux, ky_aux, ne_aux, ok_aux, tn_aux; qwi_mo_county_naics3_age: Census QWI (qwi/sa), quarters [&#x27;2024-Q4&#x27;, &#x27;2025-Q1&#x27;, &#x27;2025-Q2&#x27;, &#x27;2025-Q3&#x27;], sex=0, ownercode=A05 (private), 96 NAICS-3 + &#x27;00&#x27; all-industry
MethodologyCAERI v0.3.1 · public methodology · scores generated 2026-07-12 · page generated 2026-08-04
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