Two comparisons, both shown. The national basis ranks Marathon County against every scored U.S. county — its percentile band above is a relative national standing, not a condition. The in-state basis ranks it against Wisconsin's other counties (rank and percentile only — bands aren't meaningful within a single state). A county can stand out in its own state while sitting mid-pack nationally. Neither is a forecast.
Marathon County scores 47.1 on the national CAERI basis — 1836th of 3,142 scored U.S. counties, placing it in the 25th–50th band nationally by percentile, with a medium-confidence rating. Within Wisconsin it ranks 18th of 72 counties (76th in-state percentile). The score summarizes how concentrated local employment is in AI-exposed occupations against the economy's measured capacity to adapt; these are relative-standing bands, not a projection of local job change.
Direct occupational exposure stands at the 81st national percentile. The largest concentrations of locally estimated employment in high-exposure occupations are office clerks, general, customer service representatives, sales representatives, wholesale and manufacturing, except technical and scientific products. The share of exposed-industry jobs held by workers under 25 is 9% — below the state median of 10%; research on AI-era payrolls finds early-career roles in exposed work are where hiring patterns shift first, so this share indicates how soon exposure could be felt, not how large it is.
The share of exposed-industry jobs held by workers 55 and over is 24% (well below the state median) — a higher share historically means slower workforce adjustment when industries restructure. Fiscal sensitivity ranks at the 59th state percentile. In Wisconsin the transmission runs through a uniformly taxed property base — the state constitution's uniformity clause bars taxing commercial property at different rates than homes, so softness in commercial values shifts burden across the whole levy — under levy limits tied to net new construction, which constrain how much lost value a community can recapture; and through state shared revenue, 20% of general revenue here (well below the state median). Since 2023, the county and municipal aid appropriation is indexed to state sales-tax collections, so it moves with statewide consumption, not only local conditions. County sales taxes contribute 6% of own-source revenue and track taxable retail activity. Wisconsin local governments levy no local income tax. All county occupation figures on this page are model-based ESTIMATES with the confidence rating shown above.
Across all 214 high-exposure occupations (top quartile of ensemble exposure) with estimated local employment, Marathon County has an estimated 19,675 jobs — 27.0% of county employment — carrying an estimated $1B annual wage bill in high-exposure work. The five largest:
| Occupation | Est. local employment* | Exposure (0–1) | Median wage (area) |
|---|---|---|---|
| Office Clerks, General | 1,405 | 0.44 | $41,640 |
| Customer Service Representatives | 1,316 | 0.42 | $45,880 |
| Sales Representatives, Wholesale and Manufacturing, Except Technical and Scientific Products | 1,022 | 0.43 | $65,450 |
| Receptionists and Information Clerks | 841 | 0.52 | $38,600 |
| Bookkeeping, Accounting, and Auditing Clerks | 785 | 0.51 | $47,950 |
| Marathon County | Wisconsin median | |
|---|---|---|
| Share of exposed-industry jobs held by workers under 25 (entry rung) | 8.8% | 9.7% |
| Share of exposed-industry jobs held by workers 55+ (adjustment friction) | 24.2% | 28.7% |
The county number above averages over every community in it. City- and place-level exposure profiles, employer-mix detail, trend monitoring, and peer benchmarking are part of the CAERI subscription for local governments and regional organizations.
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StrataHelm. (2026). Marathon County, Wisconsin — Community AI Exposure & Resilience Index (CAERI v0.3.1) [Data set]. Retrieved August 4, 2026, from https://stratahelm.com/counties/wisconsin/marathon/
“Marathon County, Wisconsin — CAERI.” StrataHelm, 2026, stratahelm.com/counties/wisconsin/marathon/. Accessed 4 August 2026.
StrataHelm. “Marathon County, Wisconsin — Community AI Exposure and Resilience Index (v0.3.1).” 2026. https://stratahelm.com/counties/wisconsin/marathon/
Machine-readable: this county's JSON · national dataset download and data dictionary on the methodology page.
Oconto Co., WI (in state)Sawyer Co., WI (in state)Washington Co., WI (in state)Guadalupe Co., NM (similar score)Walla Walla Co., WA (similar score)Chase Co., KS (similar score)
Links point to the economically nearest counties (in-state, and similar national score). County-level geographic adjacency is not part of the public reference data, so proximity here is by rank, not by shared border.
| Layer | Sources (vintage) |
|---|---|
| Employment & occupation structure | cbp_wi_county_naics4: Census CBP 2023 API (NAICS2017 classification; PAYANN in $1,000s; noise infusion G/H/J bands, D = withheld -> NaN); county_soc_estimates.meta_wi.json; exposure_scores: 2026-07-04; matrix_staffing_patterns: 2024-34 National Employment Matrix (base year 2024) |
| AI-exposure research base | Anthropic Economic Index; Felten, Raj & Seamans (AIOE); Eloundou et al. — combined as a weighted ensemble with cross-source disagreement feeding the confidence rating |
| Capacity, buffer & fiscal | govfin_wi_county_revenue_mix: 2022 Census of Governments, Survey of Government Finances; lodes_wi_county_flows: LEHD LODES8 OD 2023, JT00/S000; sources: wi_main, wi_aux, ia_aux, il_aux, mn_aux; qwi_wi_county_naics3_age: Census QWI (qwi/sa), quarters ['2024-Q4', '2025-Q1', '2025-Q2', '2025-Q3'], sex=0, ownercode=A05 (private), 96 NAICS-3 + '00' all-industry |
| Methodology | CAERI v0.3.1 · public methodology · scores generated 2026-07-12 · page generated 2026-08-04 |
| License | Free to reuse under a Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International (CC BY 4.0) license: reuse or redistribute with attribution to “StrataHelm CAERI” and a link back to this page. https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/ |